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La Niña is Weakening, Scientists Say

La Niña conditions are still present in the Pacific Ocean, but experts predict a return to normal by late spring 2025. According to the latest update from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), the current La Niña pattern—characterized by cooler-than-average ocean temperatures in the central and eastern Pacific—is expected to persist in the coming months before transitioning to an ENSO-neutral phase between March and May.

Scientists say there’s a 66% chance that La Niña will fade by late spring, though a weaker version of the phenomenon may linger through early spring. While a weak La Niña typically has less dramatic effects on global weather, it can still influence seasonal forecasts.

Right now, ocean temperatures remain below average, and wind patterns in the Pacific align with La Niña conditions. However, forecast models suggest a gradual warming trend, leading to more neutral oceanic and atmospheric conditions in the months ahead.

NOAA will continue monitoring the situation, with the next update scheduled for March 13, 2025.

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